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Cpm Pert And S Curve Training Module2D

Module 4: S-Curve Monitoring and Project Control - Cpm Pert Scurve Training Module04 Forecast Trend

Construction of planned and actual S-Curves, banana curve interpretation, progress monitoring, variance analysis, and reporting for irrigation and infrastructure projects.

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EVM Forecasting & Trend Analysis

Perform trend analysis and forecast Estimate at Completion (EAC) using multiple methodologies.

EVM Variables

₱1,000,000
₱600,000
₱450,000
₱550,000
BACEACM0M1M2M3M4M5M6M7M8M9M10Project Expenditure
Cost Index (CPI)0.82
Schedule Index (SPI)0.75
Forecast Cost (EAC)₱1,222,222
Variance (VAC)-₱222,222

Methodology Calculations

Formula Used:
EAC=BACCPI=PHP 1,000,0000.818=PHP 1,222,222\text{EAC} = \frac{\text{BAC}}{\text{CPI}} = \frac{\text{PHP } 1,000,000}{0.818} = \text{PHP } 1,222,222
Analysis:⚠️ The project is facing a budget overrun of ₱222,222 (22.2% of BAC) under this scenario.

Choosing the right forecasting method is vital. The CPI × SPI method is a realistic indicator for projects suffering from concurrent cost and schedule creep.

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