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Cpm Pert And S Curve Training Module2D

Module 3: PERT Probabilistic Analysis - Cpm Pert Scurve Training Module03 Three Point Estimator

Understand how to incorporate time uncertainty into project schedules using three-point estimating, variance, and probability analysis to support risk-informed management decisions in irrigation projects.

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Three-Point Estimator

Calculated Results

Expected Duration (tet_e)
te=4.0+4(6.0)+10.06=6.33 dayst_e = \frac{4.0 + 4(6.0) + 10.0}{6} = 6.33 \text{ days}
Variance (σ2\sigma^2)
σ2=(10.0−4.06)2=1.00 days2\sigma^2 = \left(\frac{10.0 - 4.0}{6}\right)^2 = 1.00 \text{ days}^2

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