Solved Problems

Conceptual 1: Defining Sample Spaces

A geotechnical engineer is classifying a soil sample based on its primary constituent (Gravel, Sand, Silt, or Clay) and its moisture condition (Dry or Wet). What is the sample space for this classification?

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Conceptual 2: Events and Set Operations

A construction project is monitored for two independent risks: weather delays (Event WW) and material shortages (Event MM). Describe the events WMW \cup M and WMW \cap M in practical terms.

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Conceptual 3: Axioms of Probability

An intern assigns probabilities to three mutually exclusive and exhaustive outcomes of a compressive strength test: P(Low)=0.20P(\text{Low}) = 0.20, P(Medium)=0.55P(\text{Medium}) = 0.55, and P(High)=0.30P(\text{High}) = 0.30. Are these assigned probabilities valid according to the axioms of probability?

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Conceptual 4: Independence vs. Mutual Exclusivity

In structural design, a steel column can fail by yielding (Event YY) or by buckling (Event BB). If yielding and buckling cannot happen simultaneously on the exact same cross-section at the same time, what is the relationship between these two events? Are they independent?

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Problem 1: Fundamental Counting Principle

A new highway segment requires the selection of a subbase material, a base course material, and a surface course type. There are 33 options for the subbase, 44 options for the base course, and 22 options for the surface course. How many unique pavement structures can be designed?

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Problem 2: Counting Rules - Permutations

A construction project involves 55 critical tasks that must be completed one after the other in sequence. In how many different orders can these 55 tasks be scheduled?

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Problem 3: Counting Rules - Combinations

From a batch of 1212 concrete cylinders, a quality control engineer must randomly select 44 cylinders to be tested for compressive strength at 2828 days. In how many ways can this selection be made?

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Problem 4: Permutations with Indistinguishable Items

A surveyor is setting up signal flags along a route. They have 88 flags in total: 33 identical red flags, 33 identical blue flags, and 22 identical yellow flags. How many distinct sequences of flags can be arranged in a line?

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Problem 5: The Complement Rule

A pump in a water treatment plant has a probability of 0.0350.035 of failing during a continuous 24-hour24\text{-hour} operation. What is the probability that the pump will operate successfully (not fail) during this period?

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Problem 6: Addition Rule for Mutually Exclusive Events

An engineer is choosing a steel section for a beam. Based on preliminary analysis, the probability of selecting an I-beam is 0.650.65, and the probability of selecting a hollow structural section (HSS) is 0.250.25. Since a beam cannot be both an I-beam and an HSS simultaneously, what is the probability that either an I-beam or an HSS is selected?

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Problem 7: Addition Rule for Non-Mutually Exclusive Events

A batch of precast concrete panels is inspected. The probability that a panel has a minor surface defect (Event SS) is 0.120.12. The probability that it has dimensional inaccuracies (Event DD) is 0.080.08. The probability that it has both defects simultaneously is 0.030.03. What is the probability that a randomly chosen panel has at least one of these defects?

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Problem 8: Multiplication Rule for Independent Events

A critical alarm system in a facility relies on two independent sensors, Sensor A and Sensor B. The probability that Sensor A functions correctly during an emergency is 0.980.98, and the probability that Sensor B functions correctly is 0.950.95. What is the probability that both sensors function correctly during an emergency?

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